河北保定岩溶地热结垢过程模拟及防垢对策

我国的地热发电以及部分供暖工程出现了比较严重的结垢现象,阻碍了地热能的大规模开发利用,目前地热市场急需成熟的防垢理论和工艺。地热工程的结垢现象尤以碳酸钙结垢最为普遍,为解决碳酸钙结垢问题,本文以华北保定岩溶地热井结垢为研究对象,通过理论和实验相结合的手段研究分析了垢质成分,成垢机理,结垢位置和过程以及防垢措施。研究结果表明:(1)系统降压造成的闪蒸是碳酸钙结垢的主因,液相二氧化碳逸出到气相是碳酸钙结垢的主要驱动力;(2)根据井口参数,结合质量、动量和能量守恒以及两相流压降理论,可以模拟结垢过程,确定结垢位置以及不同深度处的压力、温度、干度和二氧化碳分压等参数;(3)闪蒸造成的碳酸钙结垢,确定了闪蒸位置和闪蒸压力后,可以通过加压和加注阻垢剂的方式进行阻垢。通过模拟计算,确定了加压防垢系统所需的最低压力,通过控制系统压力可防止闪蒸,抑制二氧化碳逸出造成的结垢。设计了阻垢工艺,研制了阻垢剂加注设备,开展了井下化学阻垢实验并评价了阻垢效果,通过加注阻垢剂可有效阻止90%以上的垢生成,论证了通过加注化学阻垢剂可以有效解决碳酸钙结垢。通过上述研究,积累了从结垢原因分析,结垢位置确定,结垢过程模拟,防垢工艺和设备研发,防垢实践到阻垢效果现场评价一整套经验,可为其他地热井碳酸钙结垢问题的解决提供参考依据。     

A tree‐ring width based drought reconstruction for southeastern China: links to Pacific Ocean climate variability

We present a drought reconstruction for southeastern China based on a tree‐ring width chronology of Cryptomeria fortunei developed from two sampling sites in central Fujian. A reconstruction of July–February drought variability, spanning AD 1855–2011, was developed by calibrating total tree‐ring width data with the self‐calibrating Palmer drought severity index (scPDSI). The reconstruction was verified against an independent data set, and accounts for 36% of the actual scPDSI variance during the period 1955–2011. Relatively dry intervals were reconstructed between AD 1859–1880, 1899–1911, 1927–1933, 1946–1959, 1964–1970 and 1987–1997. Relatively wet conditions prevailed during 1855–1858, 1881–1898, 1912–1926, 1934–1945, 1960–1963, 1971–1986 and 1998–2011. Comparisons between our scPDSI reconstruction and a moisture‐sensitive tree‐ring width record from Vietnam revealed consistencies between the two data sets, suggesting similar drought regimes. Spectral peaks of 2.2–6.4 years may be indicative of El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) activity, as also suggested by the significant correlations with sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the eastern equatorial and southeastern Pacific Ocean and an extreme event analysis. The analysis of links between our scPDSI reconstruction and the large‐scale regional climatic variation shows that there is a relationship between regional drought variation and East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) intensity.     

利用树轮资料重建天山中段南坡巩乃斯地区公元1777年来平均最高气温变化

利用年轮平均灰度年表重建了天山巩乃斯地区自公元1777年来当年5月至8月平均最高气温,方差解释量达41％(调整自由度后为39％).过去232年来,巩乃斯地区平均最高气温变化存在2个偏冷阶段和1个偏暖阶段.重建序列具有154年、77年、2.7年和2.3年的准周期,并且在1842年前后、1880年前后、1923年前后发生了...     

利用决策树工具的土地利用类型遥感识别方法研究

应用决策树的理论和方法,利用遥感数据及其他相关数据和资料进行土地利用信息分类。通过研究地物光谱统计特征,讨论了通过耕地指数等归一化地类指数来增强影像地类特征、结合DEM提取土地利用信息的决策树分支点的设计方法,较好地解决了水体和建筑阴影、道路等容易混淆区域的区分问题。     

Geospatial Information Service Based on Digital Measurable Image——Take Image City·Wuhan as an Example

LBS (location-based service) is a remarkable outcome of the development from GIS to geospatial information service. Faced by the requirements of geospatial information from the masses and the opportunity provided by the next generation Internet and Web 2.0, a new model of geospatial information service based on DMI (digital measurable image) is presented. First, the concept of LBS and the opportunities of Web 2.0 are introduced, then the characteristic of DMI is discussed. Taking the Image City·Wuhan as an ...     

特克斯河流域近236a降水变化及其趋势预测

根据2006年采自特克斯河流域6个采样点的树轮样本研制的树轮宽度年表与气象资料,通过相关普查发现,特克斯河流域树轮标准化年表与上年7月至当年6月的降水存在显著的正相关,最高单相关系数为0.727.用库尔克尔也灭,小白代的树轮宽度标准化年表序列,可较好地重建该地区最近236 a的降水序列,方差解释量达54%,并通过交叉检验表明重建结果是稳定可靠的.近236 a,特克斯河流域上年7月至当年6月降水经历了8个偏湿阶段和8个偏干阶段,同时重建降水序列具有10.3 a、7.5 a、6.0 a、3.0 a、2.1 a的变化准周期,并在1790年,1911年,1929年,1974年发生过降水突变.采用毛毛虫-奇异谱分析法(Caterpillar-ssa)对该地区未来20 a的降水的自然变化进行预测.结果表明,21世纪的最初几年降水量将延续20世纪90年代以来增加的趋势,之后出现下降,并在2013～2016年前后最低值出现.     

Effects of precipitation and landuse on runoff during the past 50 years in a typical watershed in the Loess Plateau, China

In the past century, great progress has been made worldwide in our understanding of forest-water relationship. The successful forestation programs implemented in China-which have improved the ecological environmental conditions-have gained the attention of many researchers and highlighted the relationship between forestation and water yields. The arid and semi-arid Loess Plateau has received attention from water engineers and eco-hydrological researchers in China because of a shortage in water resources. We selected one of the oldest stations conducting soil and water conservation experiments, the Xifeng soil and water conservation station, and chose the Nanxiaohe catchment and its paired catchments （Yangjiagou catchment and Dongzhuanggou catchment） as our research areas. Trends in precipitation, air temperature, streamflow over the past 50 years, and the effect of changing land use on streamflow were analyzed. The Mann-Kendall test showed that precipitation had a negative trend （downward trend）, whereas air temperature showed a positive trend （upward trend） from the past to present in the Nanxiaohe catchment. However, the trends seen in precipitation, air temperature did not contain any ＂jumping points.＂ The paired catchment approach is used to detect the effects of land cover change on hydrology in the Yangjiagou and the contrast catchment, i.e., Dongzhuanggou catchment in our study. The results showed a large change in land use in the Yangjiagou catchment from 1954 to 2008. An increase in forested land （from 0% to 40.08% from 1954 to 2008） and a reduction of bare land （from 51.26% to 5.50% from 1954 to 2008） accounted for a large part of the change in land use. However, the land use changed little in the contrast catchment. The comparison of streamfiow in the paired catchments showed that forestation reduced streamflow by 49.63% （or 6.5 mm） each year.     

日本、美国等国家防震减灾法律法规制度比较研究

日本、美国作为全球地震高发区,分别制定了相对完善的法律法规体系,并积累了防震减灾制度建设方面的丰富经验。本文首先收集与梳理日本、美国等国家相关的防震减灾法制体系。分析日、美等国家政府部门管理、社会管理及全民参与的体制与机制。以日本为例,分析日本在防灾对策强化区的基本思路。最后从我国的基本国情出发,提出适合我国重点监视防御区工作的建议,即:1重防区的确定、相应的法律法规制定及信息的公布;2提高重防区的监测、预测、房屋抗震和应急救援能力;3提高公众防灾抗灾意识;4增加地震预测、烈度速报与预警系统方面的财政投入;5地震保险业的推广。     

性能增强再生混凝土框架中节点非线性分析

再生混凝土作为一种再生资源近年来被广泛应用,在此基础上加入钢纤维和tank纤维制成性能增强再生混凝土,使结构的安全可靠性得到了进一步保证。采用有限元软件ABAQUS对3个混杂纤维掺量分别为0、0.5%、1%的再生混凝土框架中节点进行低周反复试验分析,得到了它们的滞回曲线和骨架曲线,并进行了对比分析。研究表明:相较于普通再生混凝土而言,性能增强再生混凝土框架中节点的耗能性能可提高20%、32%,抗开裂性能及极限承载力性能也更为优异,能够应用于实际工程之中。     

利用树轮密度重建新疆北部5-8月温度变化

利用新疆北部5个采样点的树轮密度年表主序列和新疆北部33个气象站观测气温平均值进行相关分析,结果显示其与新疆北部5-8月平均温度存在很强一致相关性,相关系数为0.667（p<0.001, n=49）。温度重建方程能够解释校准期（1960-2008年）内44.5%的温度变化方差。空间相关分析揭示该温度重建序列能够表征新疆北部过去353 a （1656-2008年）5-8月温度总体变化特征。重建序列揭示新疆北部5-8月平均温度大致经历了6个偏暖阶段,即1656-1664年、1667-1692年、1711-1734年、1804-1832年、1855-1956年、2000-2008年,中间为偏冷阶段,这些阶段中间多个小幅度变化。温度重建结果发现新疆北部温度变化与太阳活动、火山喷发有着紧密联系。温度重建序列与全球海温场的相关分析显示当西风带海区及热带大西洋地区的海温偏高时,研究区气温偏高。与海温、火山喷发和云量变化的相关分析都指示在西风环流的作用下,上述因子对于该地区温度变化有着重要影响。该温度重建序列在低频变化上与北半球气温具有显著正相关,说明中亚地区温度变化与北半球整体温度变化具有较好的一致性。